0x926ca02a589147f9289ddf3ef116b22c1b2f5585
- Realised P&L
- $-7.69
- Volume
- $910.57
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $5.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.900 | $5.22 | +$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.98at 0.410Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$9.77at 0.280Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$6.68at 0.310Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 4.5 Corners
- +$4.08at 0.550England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Corners
- +$4.00at 0.200Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:04 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 07-31 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 07-30 23:00 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0062204176 | $0.05 |
| 07-30 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.53 |
| 07-30 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $5.25 |
| 07-30 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.729999958 | $4.00 |
| 07-30 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 21:27 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.412 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 16:00 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8239999934 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 11:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.40 |
| 07-28 00:06 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.74 |
| 07-27 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 23:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999719 | $4.00 |