thorindiaa
0x9251de1d4cf276bc026dc880729effa201d0c159
- Realised P&L
- $201.36
- Volume
- $142.6k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $5.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $3.75 | +$1.25 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.80 | −$1.80 |
| T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India · India | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on June 3? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.71 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.46 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 12? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders · Sunrisers Hyderabad | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.39at 0.475Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings
- +$30.00at 0.960Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings
- +$23.44at 0.833Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
- +$17.80at 0.910Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
- +$16.50at 0.965Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 04:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 06-04 10:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-04 07:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 06-03 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.23 |
| 06-03 08:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 06-03 08:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.49 |
| 05-27 10:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.43 |
| 05-27 10:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.78 |
| 05-23 06:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.96 |
| 05-20 14:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.41 |
| 05-20 14:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 14:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 07:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.53 |
| 05-14 05:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 05-14 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.08 |