andynordmann
0x91f21fe61d96c067a056edf71929194fe38366dd
- Realised P&L
- $8.55
- Volume
- $694.40
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $131.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.815 | $54.33 | +$4.33 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $49.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.059 | $19.36 | −$5.64 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.450 | $8.65 | −$1.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.73at 0.721Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:25 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 07:02 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 06:52 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.89 | $61.73 |
| 08-01 19:39 | Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.0755527374 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 18:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7499999887 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 18:00 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.7208666172 | $50.00 |