syntez-syhnalu
0x91bad8de906f896aad8bd05622f7f13ce0af235f
- Realised P&L
- $18.50
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $123.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.085 | $57.41 | −$21.34 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.962 | $40.06 | +$5.06 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.045 | $10.11 | −$9.89 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.220 | 0.066 | $9.00 | −$21.00 |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.125 | $7.35 | −$2.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.78at 0.510Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
- +$24.37at 0.440Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
- +$17.62at 0.630Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$14.12at 0.680Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
- +$11.40at 0.637Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 20:40 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 12:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $22.51 |
| 06-02 20:25 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999997 | $25.00 |
| 04-27 21:08 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 04-26 17:25 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 04-17 17:03 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999997 | $30.00 |
| 03-10 13:17 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6299999926 | $30.00 |
| 01-25 21:40 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 01-18 22:28 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY | 0.6368444279 | $20.00 |
| 01-16 13:22 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999856 | $35.00 |
| 10-31 02:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-16 19:19 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 04-18 17:46 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BUY | 0.6799999937 | $30.00 |
| 04-18 17:38 | Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | SELL | 0.976220022 | $44.37 |
| 04-18 17:37 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SELL | 0.987 | $25.74 |