0x915d9cB4Cf68B7D073764225188F5FaDfb4299Ba-1751647710104
0x915d9cb4cf68b7d073764225188f5fadfb4299ba
- Realised P&L
- $-34.46
- Volume
- $985.43
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $0.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.018 | $0.79 | −$1.37 |
| Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 · No | 0.399 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.02 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.74at 0.280Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?
- +$2.25at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
- +$0.79at 0.830Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$0.55at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$0.50at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 18:40 | Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? | BUY | 0.0489999792 | $2.16 |
| 07-01 19:58 | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.3992735478 | $29.02 |
| 07-01 19:18 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0491868846 | $2.50 |
| 06-24 17:17 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999836 | $4.52 |
| 05-28 06:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $6.65 |
| 05-28 06:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $6.79 |
| 05-28 06:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999984 | $5.88 |
| 05-28 06:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 05-28 06:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9494856944 | $4.80 |
| 05-28 06:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999957 | $3.88 |
| 05-28 05:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $3.88 |
| 05-28 05:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $3.84 |
| 05-28 05:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $3.80 |
| 05-28 05:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $3.88 |
| 05-28 05:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $3.84 |