ClaudiaLeilanSophia
0x9159315c138cb1226d787b542e87fb5a4a89f00d
- Realised P&L
- $-93.98
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $61.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.015 | $50.69 | +$37.84 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $11.11 | −$4.80 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.93 |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks · Cavaliers | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Warriors vs. Celtics · Warriors | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Warriors vs. Knicks · Warriors | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.16 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks · Celtics | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.375 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks · 76ers | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.64 |
| Bulls vs. Clippers · Bulls | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.44 |
| Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.33 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 7? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.51 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.57at 0.660Zuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)
- +$3.47at 0.420Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
- +$3.30at 0.340Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$2.32at 0.690 The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barrios
- +$1.87at 0.217LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 08:38 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.06 |
| 07-12 23:43 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.08 |
| 07-12 04:56 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.10 |
| 07-12 04:42 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.30 |
| 07-06 01:00 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.16 |
| 07-03 01:31 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.16 |
| 07-02 19:25 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 07-01 01:59 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.003 | $12.24 |
| 06-20 22:23 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.16 |
| 06-20 16:50 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.60 |
| 06-20 16:29 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 21:20 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |
| 06-05 04:11 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.56 |
| 05-27 22:38 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.50 |
| 05-21 04:32 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.63 |