Tarajossul
0x90f968dd959be902385d10482bb01f693731c074
- Realised P&L
- $-152.69
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $17.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.445 | $17.36 | −$5.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.720Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.00at 0.740Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.155Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.00at 0.400Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$0.87at 0.510Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:05 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 05:10 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.4 | $15.60 |
| 08-02 23:24 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | SELL | 0.240862069 | $13.97 |
| 07-28 10:02 | Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.5292631579 | $50.28 |
| 07-28 07:41 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.3 | $20.70 |
| 07-28 02:40 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.32 | $22.08 |
| 07-24 21:34 | Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.33 |
| 07-24 18:28 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-24 18:19 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 07-23 15:49 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.57 | $114.00 |
| 07-21 11:44 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.698 | $48.86 |
| 07-17 21:01 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.67090065 | $134.18 |
| 07-15 19:18 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 07-03 15:03 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 06-30 01:02 | Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |