0x90e2Cb09D4516c809479a78a2Ce18Db13f95Fc2E-1753695746371
0x90e2cb09d4516c809479a78a2ce18db13f95fc2e
- Realised P&L
- $-161.24
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $42.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.105 | $42.00 | −$22.00 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner · Alcaraz | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.40 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 1? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.10 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.80 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.75at 0.459Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$19.20at 0.350Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 31?
- +$10.50at 0.560Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$8.52at 0.716Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.80at 0.810ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 08:43 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $28.13 |
| 11-20 13:46 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.014 | $2.24 |
| 11-20 13:38 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 11-16 02:00 | ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 11-15 09:41 | ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 11-13 03:48 | Will the government shutdown end November 12? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.96 |
| 11-13 03:30 | Will the government shutdown end November 12? | SELL | 0.837 | $16.74 |
| 11-12 14:12 | Will the government shutdown end November 12? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 11-10 08:48 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 10-31 16:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 10-31 02:44 | Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | BUY | 0.289 | $5.78 |
| 10-31 01:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? | SELL | 0.0109215974 | $8.41 |
| 10-30 15:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? | BUY | 0.039 | $30.03 |
| 10-30 09:08 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.51 |
| 10-30 09:08 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.51 |