0x90DE72fA8c59d6F01E2Bc1bE5E11fE87310421F7-1769739832700
0x90de72fa8c59d6f01e2bc1be5e11fe87310421f7
- Realised P&L
- $-529.97
- Volume
- $213.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.195 | 0.125 | $1.0k | −$586.43 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 1? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.86 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.98 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$799.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$454.76at 0.785Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$316.84at 0.018Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$257.58at 0.660Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$46.80at 0.681Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$42.60at 0.136Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 12:53 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.16 | $131.67 |
| 07-02 06:58 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $300.00 |
| 06-30 06:12 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $500.00 |
| 06-25 08:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1969307166 | $500.00 |
| 06-24 21:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.2 | $1.0k |
| 06-23 01:01 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6599999996 | $500.00 |
| 06-22 00:30 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.984 | $2.2k |
| 06-01 14:22 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.5k |
| 06-01 14:21 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.139 | $1.5k |
| 05-31 23:44 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $196.42 |
| 05-31 23:43 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.017 | $141.67 |
| 05-31 23:43 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.086 | $45.74 |
| 05-31 18:42 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6799999937 | $30.00 |
| 05-30 18:24 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0179999997 | $50.00 |
| 05-30 18:23 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $65.71 |