sibuliao
0x90ca343720f7bbfffaed704daf9697e20df63322
- Realised P&L
- $-279.65
- Volume
- $193.6k
- Markets traded
- 571
- Open portfolio
- $9.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded571
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.065 | $8.79 | −$37.20 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.648 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.111Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?
- +$844.66at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31?
- +$423.39at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$390.12at 0.607Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5AM ET
- +$356.95at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.34 | $45.99 |
| 07-30 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $48.56 |
| 07-30 04:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999929 | $17.17 |
| 07-30 04:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12AM ET | SELL | 0.1731578947 | $16.45 |
| 07-30 04:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $41.80 |
| 06-27 03:39 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.10 |
| 06-23 09:54 | Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2221363317 | $3.16 |
| 06-23 06:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.197 | $3.46 |
| 06-15 17:21 | Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 15? | SELL | 0.5006861756 | $4.96 |
| 06-15 16:14 | Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 15? | BUY | 0.9079999972 | $9.00 |
| 06-15 16:06 | Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 15? | SELL | 0.8069491525 | $9.05 |
| 06-15 15:54 | Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 15? | BUY | 0.981 | $11.00 |
| 06-15 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.8456197719 | $11.12 |
| 06-15 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6839206959 | $9.00 |
| 06-14 14:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | SELL | 0.8179384615 | $7.97 |