Lockente
0x90928f68a02bfa209191ecc51f5c4cff2e9e2933
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $381.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $909.45 | −$1.6k |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.130 | $710.16 | +$118.51 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$419.11 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.03 |
| Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? · Yes | 0.446 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.67at 0.240Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-8.44at 0.010Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 18:40 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.11 | $550.00 |
| 07-07 12:11 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.26 | $216.67 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $21.78 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $46.47 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $18.57 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $25.09 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $17.25 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $29.18 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $35.64 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $66.27 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $33.61 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $20.55 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $17.14 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $29.27 |
| 07-06 07:28 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $29.76 |