0x905A572012B9640D7aAAaae232f4B9A7Ad7519ae-1779602432874
0x905a572012b9640d7aaaaae232f4b9a7ad7519ae
- Realised P&L
- $2.22
- Volume
- $539.74
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $6.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? · No | 0.860 | 0.945 | $3.87 | +$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? · No | 0.790 | 0.795 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.550 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 24? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.16at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 25?
- +$5.95at 0.363Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?
- +$0.92at 0.860Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1?
- +$0.62at 0.830Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?
- +$0.58at 0.865Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.16 |
| 08-04 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.97 | $2.42 |
| 08-03 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8599999812 | $5.50 |
| 08-03 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.41 |
| 08-02 15:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.97 | $8.08 |
| 07-31 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.8599999976 | $7.17 |
| 07-31 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $7.19 |
| 07-30 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.90 |
| 07-30 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.95 |
| 07-28 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.9299999943 | $6.48 |