0x9016ceb2e413717c208d286d4e11512ac5f3e4ba
- Realised P&L
- $-85.79
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $10.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.49at 0.116Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$19.16at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3?
- +$14.48at 0.659LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$11.27at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3?
- +$7.52at 0.600Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.26 |
| 08-04 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0198495025 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0399075944 | $4.39 |
| 08-04 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.11 |
| 08-04 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.27 |
| 08-04 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.56 |
| 08-04 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.05 |
| 08-04 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.39 |
| 08-04 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.51 |
| 08-04 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5 | $28.91 |
| 08-04 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.0095041322 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-04 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-04 01:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.435 | $8.70 |