PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

duderr

0x8f7a4b414417911e7e9bd738399874792cdbdb40

Realised P&L
$196.0k
Volume
$34.43M
Markets traded
2,777
Open portfolio
$11.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,777
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5490.826$10.4k+$3.5k
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.840$523.27+$429.83
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8270.890$444.98+$31.68
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? · No0.9890.545$138.80$113.11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.075$0.75$0.35
Ravens vs. Chiefs · Ravens0.2200.000$0.00$110.00
Will Trump remove carried interest loophole before July? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$13.54
Georgia vs. Auburn · Auburn0.3500.000$0.00$175.00
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$28.45
Bucks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.4200.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21? · No0.4600.000$0.00$92.00
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · No0.0950.000$0.00$137.71
Will SP win the fourth most seats in the Norway election? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$45.00
Will the US strike Colombia next? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.0k
Knicks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.2600.000$0.00$780.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:13Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.89$89.00
08-02 23:13Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.89$89.00
08-02 23:13Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.89$89.00
08-02 23:13Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.89$89.00
08-02 23:13Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.89$89.00
08-02 23:12Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.94$1.9k
08-02 23:11US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.9462051992$3.8k
07-21 21:41Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?BUY0.6$30.00
07-21 21:39Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?BUY0.6$60.00
07-21 21:36Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?BUY0.6$3.00
06-18 16:10Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?SELL0.19$26.69
06-18 16:09Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.21$544.75
06-18 14:22Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.138$96.60
06-18 14:21Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.74$133.20
06-18 14:20Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)BUY0.4215584762$221.32