0x8f2Af3fefd2cee473d9e98F72FD3DCC7dBf9BAb8-1769419654750
0x8f2af3fefd2cee473d9e98f72fd3dcc7dbf9bab8
- Realised P&L
- $-39.70
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 288
- Open portfolio
- $5.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded288
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No | 0.930 | 0.865 | $5.71 | −$0.43 |
| Will Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs be the VA-01 Democratic nominee? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$4.97 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 · Under | 0.567 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.11at 0.590Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5
- +$1.77at 0.916Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA Bruins
- +$1.73at 0.830Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.69at 0.870Pelicans vs. Thunder
- +$1.69at 0.870Kings vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:05 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.23 |
| 07-29 20:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.05 |
| 07-29 20:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.20 |
| 07-07 16:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9399999973 | $6.84 |
| 07-07 12:37 | Will Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs be the VA-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.51 |
| 07-05 01:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.07 |
| 07-03 17:34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8800802499 | $8.88 |
| 06-05 00:08 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.5599999866 | $5.01 |
| 06-05 00:08 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.5699999954 | $5.01 |
| 06-05 00:08 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.5699999954 | $5.01 |
| 06-04 01:30 | Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5 | BUY | 0.5899999727 | $7.35 |
| 06-03 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.3810210261 | $4.53 |
| 06-03 01:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.9909999704 | $11.79 |
| 06-01 07:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $10.53 |
| 05-31 19:08 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.85 |