nona97
0x8f059256f713a8a919d4728df425d5f365f541db
- Realised P&L
- $10.59
- Volume
- $403.36
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $38.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.70at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?
- +$7.33at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?
- +$3.14at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 4?
- +$2.56at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4?
- +$1.17at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.5699998252 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.33 |
| 08-04 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.55 |