johy001
0x8ec68d84d28c28236ff54821a6937f551bc6b459
- Realised P&L
- $293.04
- Volume
- $170.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,221
- Open portfolio
- $230.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,221
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$299.89at 0.045Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?
- +$226.74at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 19?
- +$139.26at 0.029Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 3?
- +$131.56at 0.203Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8?
- +$115.65at 0.307Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $165.14 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $50.17 |
| 08-04 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2723482322 | $4.08 |
| 08-04 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.79 |
| 08-04 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 08-04 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.21 |
| 08-04 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.39 |
| 08-04 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.02 |
| 08-04 06:34 | XRP Up or Down - August 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.105 | $2.10 |
| 08-04 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.32 |
| 08-04 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $6.97 |
| 08-04 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.38 |
| 08-04 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1273154362 | $3.79 |
| 08-04 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 08-04 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $58.99 |