0x8EbA49B941c1b164d8eBD923a93Ed252E4F147Bb-1768010130510
0x8eba49b941c1b164d8ebd923a93ed252e4f147bb
- Realised P&L
- $-206.33
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $181.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.40at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?
- +$26.04at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 14?
- +$7.32at 0.390Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?
- +$7.20at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?
- +$5.40at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:57 | Exact Score: AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón 3 - 1 CS Cartaginés? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.52 |
| 08-04 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.78 |
| 08-04 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.75 |
| 08-04 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.83 |
| 08-04 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.41 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.86 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.48 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.55 |