VenesuelanOIL
0x8e82477c0071d0dd90970a3fe3d1792043401427
- Realised P&L
- $9.14
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $228.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat? · No | 0.948 | 0.941 | $50.81 | −$0.38 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $50.49 | −$0.27 |
| Will Josh Jung lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? · No | 0.988 | 0.956 | $48.76 | −$1.63 |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.986 | 0.941 | $47.97 | −$2.32 |
| Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? · No | 0.974 | 0.997 | $27.10 | +$0.62 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat? · No | 0.965 | 0.977 | $3.49 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.940Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
- +$2.02at 0.920Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
- +$1.49at 0.975Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.962Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$1.40at 0.953Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 12:05 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9319999988 | $22.42 |