PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8E18312Ef611c51089B255222D4f55a518ff037d-1780868310474

0x8e18312ef611c51089b255222d4f55a518ff037d

Realised P&L
$-990.62
Volume
$58.6k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$16.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0600.163$16.25+$10.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$150.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5970.000$0.00$150.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4170.000$0.00$300.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$50.00
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$200.00
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres0.6100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$100.00
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky · Connecticut Sun0.7000.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 3, 2026?BUY0.4181011184$200.00
08-02 19:18Will AD Tarma win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.33$65.74
07-31 01:22Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyBUY0.6999999996$200.00
07-31 01:11San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.6099999985$100.00
07-29 11:05Will AD Tarma win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.5019932067$100.00
07-16 11:49Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4169999994$300.00
07-16 11:49Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5799999995$300.00
07-16 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.99$100.00
07-16 09:41Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
07-16 09:40Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$100.00
07-13 22:07France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999986$150.00
07-07 18:13Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.999$138.74
07-07 12:45Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group ASELL0.5$64.90
07-07 11:03Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group ABUY0.7703703627$100.00
07-07 10:53Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.06$6.00