XAytSdd2A4D3Eyg
0x8df710441c72522376b3724a45b865c1ea13c124
- Realised P&L
- $212.97
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $287.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.636 | 1.000 | $287.86 | +$104.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$5.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$21.82 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.32at 0.477Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3?
- +$30.94at 0.640Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$23.36at 0.680Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$21.25at 0.320Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$0.00at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.955 | $9.55 |
| 08-04 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.912 | $18.24 |
| 08-04 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.888 | $88.80 |
| 08-04 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.89 |
| 08-04 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.33 |
| 08-04 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 08-04 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.94 |
| 08-04 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.21 |
| 08-04 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.54 |
| 08-04 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.63 |
| 08-04 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.12 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2747475941 | $16.27 |
| 08-04 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3017571634 | $23.06 |
| 08-04 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3246583127 | $44.56 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.525 | $2.63 |