PolyBot

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Traders

XAytSdd2A4D3Eyg

0x8df710441c72522376b3724a45b865c1ea13c124

Realised P&L
$212.97
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$287.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? · Yes0.6361.000$287.86+$104.80
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.0500.001$0.06$5.59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.1990.001$0.05$21.82
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.5900.000$0.00$4.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:46Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.955$9.55
08-04 14:43Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.912$18.24
08-04 14:17Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.888$88.80
08-04 13:18Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.16$3.89
08-04 13:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.76$6.33
08-04 13:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.75$7.50
08-04 13:02Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.73$7.94
08-04 12:50Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.23$1.21
08-04 12:50Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.22$1.54
08-04 12:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.17$5.63
08-04 12:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.24$3.12
08-04 12:44Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.2747475941$16.27
08-04 12:43Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.3017571634$23.06
08-04 12:43Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.3246583127$44.56
08-04 12:42Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.525$2.63