RealHLM
0x8ddb3ea34c3416d74c0cb1bd2b550c92eab96a89
- Realised P&L
- $885.20
- Volume
- $83.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,228
- Open portfolio
- $520.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,228
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.49at 0.429Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?
- +$113.39at 0.058Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
- +$99.09at 0.115Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 28?
- +$90.35at 0.245Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?
- +$88.55at 0.403England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:54 | Will LDU Quito win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.6499999614 | $16.00 |
| 08-04 00:31 | Will LDU Quito win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.7333987488 | $33.33 |
| 08-04 00:20 | LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5999999926 | $16.16 |
| 08-03 23:44 | CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $24.54 |
| 08-03 23:24 | CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5699999943 | $14.00 |
| 08-03 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $99.00 |
| 08-03 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2999999932 | $22.22 |
| 08-03 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.0110565112 | $1.11 |
| 08-03 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0724720477 | $4.44 |
| 08-03 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5178635818 | $12.12 |
| 08-03 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5206991148 | $22.22 |
| 08-03 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8966185134 | $99.99 |
| 08-03 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4899999859 | $11.11 |
| 08-03 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.23 |
| 08-03 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.7199999991 | $33.00 |