MMemento
0x8d7069054c0b48a036fb9034ba6761b9a09772ee
- Realised P&L
- $-24.6k
- Volume
- $405.3k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$647.04at 0.904Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$429.00at 0.700Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
- +$399.92at 0.619Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?
- +$381.50at 0.754Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?
- +$261.49at 0.920Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 08-01 13:37 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 08-01 13:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $155.44 |
| 08-01 13:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $12.22 |
| 08-01 13:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $12.30 |
| 08-01 13:28 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7190909091 | $39.55 |
| 08-01 13:28 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $164.79 |
| 08-01 13:27 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.06 |
| 08-01 10:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.199 | $162.38 |
| 08-01 09:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.398 | $165.57 |
| 08-01 09:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.395 | $158.00 |
| 07-31 15:20 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-31 15:20 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 07-31 15:20 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.61 |
| 07-31 15:20 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.61 |