PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8d256CfA1A2384E354f4DBb2f60f2FB50E890867-1775008861152

0x8d256cfa1a2384e354f4dbb2f60f2fb50e890867

Realised P&L
$-306.28
Volume
$21.6k
Markets traded
188
Open portfolio
$29.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded188
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-16 19:37Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?SELL0.75$1.03
04-16 18:41Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?SELL0.03$0.27
04-16 03:54Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?SELL0.94$16.92
04-16 02:28Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?BUY0.59$16.81
04-16 02:28Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?SELL0.5634210526$16.06
04-16 02:05Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.31$8.25
04-16 02:05Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.42$11.17
04-16 01:58Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?SELL0.011$0.31
04-16 01:58Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?BUY0.037$1.04
04-16 01:28Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?BUY0.61$10.98
04-16 01:28Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?BUY0.039$1.09
04-16 00:09Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?SELL0.09$0.99
04-15 23:22Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?BUY0.86$17.11
04-15 23:22Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?BUY0.08$0.88
04-15 20:18Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.43$10.88