fersendo
0x8d203acf068c1606b8c16906b6a1ede59f9488e0
- Realised P&L
- $288.87
- Volume
- $180.0k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $317.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.025Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 19:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3334792605 | $2.6k |
| 01-10 03:20 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0239669725 | $101.10 |
| 01-10 02:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0142902567 | $101.71 |
| 01-05 02:42 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $98.00 |
| 12-09 20:19 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0231833094 | $16.35 |
| 12-09 19:52 | Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? | BUY | 0.015 | $6.00 |
| 12-09 19:47 | Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.0014117165 | $2.00 |
| 12-09 19:47 | Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 12-09 19:47 | Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 12-09 19:39 | Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.0013872367 | $2.00 |
| 12-09 19:38 | Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.0173094042 | $9.00 |
| 12-09 19:35 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0361829724 | $53.00 |
| 12-09 19:34 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 12-09 19:34 | Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 12-09 19:32 | Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0085281112 | $3.00 |