PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fersendo

0x8d203acf068c1606b8c16906b6a1ede59f9488e0

Realised P&L
$288.87
Volume
$180.0k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$317.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 19:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.3334792605$2.6k
01-10 03:20Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.0239669725$101.10
01-10 02:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0142902567$101.71
01-05 02:42Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$98.00
12-09 20:19Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0231833094$16.35
12-09 19:52Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?BUY0.015$6.00
12-09 19:47Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?BUY0.0014117165$2.00
12-09 19:47Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?BUY0.001$2.00
12-09 19:47Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?BUY0.001$2.00
12-09 19:39Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?BUY0.0013872367$2.00
12-09 19:38Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?BUY0.0173094042$9.00
12-09 19:35Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?BUY0.0361829724$53.00
12-09 19:34Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?BUY0.004$2.00
12-09 19:34Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$2.00
12-09 19:32Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?BUY0.0085281112$3.00