alivip
0x8d086c3fbe96407784e70d35745ef302592d9bd4
- Realised P&L
- $-132.08
- Volume
- $327.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,855
- Open portfolio
- $1.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,855
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.80at 0.006Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
- +$198.80at 0.006Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$82.50at 0.006Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
- +$82.50at 0.006Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
- +$82.50at 0.006Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 09:05 | XRP Up or Down - August 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-02 01:05 | XRP Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.06 |
| 08-01 18:19 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $0.11 |
| 08-01 17:36 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.05 |
| 08-01 17:36 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.27 |
| 08-01 17:36 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $1.15 |
| 08-01 17:35 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-01 10:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 07-31 08:05 | BNB Up or Down - July 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 07-31 07:04 | XRP Up or Down - July 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $1.31 |
| 07-30 13:50 | Solana Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.58 |
| 07-30 10:37 | BNB Up or Down - July 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 07-30 10:06 | BNB Up or Down - July 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |