brunowin
0x8ca17ac327e6317653508e40b91c941c89dd616c
- Realised P&L
- $-76.13
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $6.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.004 | $4.28 | −$52.02 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $2.25 | −$6.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80at 0.119Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$-19.16at 0.090Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 20:39 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.036 | $11.80 |
| 04-17 16:30 | Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0420133663 | $9.31 |
| 04-17 16:28 | Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.00 |
| 04-15 19:25 | Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.030814873 | $5.18 |
| 04-13 19:18 | Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0875648829 | $29.14 |
| 04-13 18:34 | Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0255112971 | $11.67 |
| 04-13 18:33 | Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0237847405 | $0.99 |
| 04-13 18:31 | Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.1241258723 | $41.80 |
| 04-04 12:56 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0979999942 | $14.74 |
| 04-03 17:49 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.052 | $3.16 |
| 03-29 19:23 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0999132318 | $17.00 |
| 03-29 16:02 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.060999955 | $1.25 |
| 03-29 15:53 | Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.1187747526 | $40.00 |