0x8bcf0488d5df855d5bf056be495fe2d349f6789e
- Realised P&L
- $19.76
- Volume
- $141.94
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $25.94
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone · Matteo Berrettini | 0.615 | 0.635 | $6.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.725 | $3.97 | −$0.03 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula | 0.610 | 0.805 | $3.96 | +$0.96 |
| Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges · Nuno Borges | 0.690 | 0.745 | $3.24 | +$0.24 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Taylor Fritz | 0.600 | 0.615 | $3.08 | +$0.07 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.520 | $2.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.605 | $2.56 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.97at 0.585Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.08at 0.755Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.06at 0.620Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$2.95at 0.577Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$2.82at 0.780Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:04 | Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.6199998016 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 16:03 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 14:48 | Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.609999939 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 13:18 | Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 13:16 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | BUY | 0.609999939 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 00:39 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6299999454 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 00:38 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 20:10 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 11:50 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 11:49 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo | BUY | 0.7199999808 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 11:06 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 23:57 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.7599999783 | $2.80 |
| 07-31 23:57 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.75 | $2.80 |
| 07-31 15:14 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5999999195 | $1.49 |
| 07-31 14:27 | Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.729999958 | $4.00 |