Mymarty
0x8b85f30309a18a63992eb0c5c8648c08ab0d8363
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $113.2k
- Markets traded
- 312
- Open portfolio
- $583.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded312
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.725 | $290.00 | −$46.00 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.375 | $150.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? · No | 0.850 | 0.730 | $109.50 | −$18.00 |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.170 | $34.00 | −$58.00 |
| Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$117.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.88at 0.490Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
- +$0.98at 0.143Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.68at 0.180Will the announcers say "Suspension" or "Suspended" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$0.40at 0.670Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$0.36at 0.800S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:14 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | SELL | 0.09888 | $24.72 |
| 08-02 09:08 | Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.68 | $136.00 |
| 08-02 08:30 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-02 07:51 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.6 | $240.00 |
| 08-01 16:44 | Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-01 13:21 | Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-01 11:03 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 07-31 13:33 | Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 07-31 07:49 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 07-30 04:50 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 07-30 04:24 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.27 |
| 07-30 03:54 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 07-28 13:30 | Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? | SELL | 0.02825 | $5.65 |
| 07-28 13:30 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.05 | $6.00 |
| 07-28 13:29 | Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.82 | $57.40 |