PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Mymarty

0x8b85f30309a18a63992eb0c5c8648c08ab0d8363

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$113.2k
Markets traded
312
Open portfolio
$583.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded312
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.8400.725$290.00$46.00
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? · Yes0.6000.375$150.00$90.00
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? · No0.8500.730$109.50$18.00
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes0.4600.170$34.00$58.00
Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election? · Yes0.4700.001$0.13$117.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:14Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?SELL0.09888$24.72
08-02 09:08Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.68$136.00
08-02 08:30Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.38$7.60
08-02 07:51Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?BUY0.6$240.00
08-01 16:44Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?SELL0.08$1.60
08-01 13:21Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?SELL0.08$1.60
08-01 11:03Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.76$15.20
07-31 13:33Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?SELL0.32$6.40
07-31 07:49Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.21$6.30
07-30 04:50Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.25$7.50
07-30 04:24Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?SELL0.54$10.27
07-30 03:54Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?SELL0.26$7.80
07-28 13:30Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?SELL0.02825$5.65
07-28 13:30Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.05$6.00
07-28 13:29Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.82$57.40