dlflr
0x8b64624894270d6201a97f38be3441a87ee67ffd
- Realised P&L
- $7.08
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $197.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-02 House seat? · No | 0.976 | 0.975 | $99.40 | −$0.15 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.938 | $49.69 | −$0.66 |
| Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.954 | $48.65 | −$1.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.972Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
- +$2.50at 0.954Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- +$1.27at 0.954Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?
- +$0.53at 0.950Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$0.48at 0.956Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 12:23 | Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $18.58 |