dubiousnftlover
0x8b085f13f63950b8f0b1c56be8985ea75ab624a6
- Realised P&L
- $-291.82
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 344
- Open portfolio
- $52.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded344
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.15at 0.116Packers vs. Bears
- +$125.70at 0.179Vikings vs. Bears
- +$108.60at 0.095Ravens vs. Bills
- +$85.94at 0.21949ers vs. Eagles
- +$83.91at 0.328Patriots vs. Ravens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 17:35 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.0214688 | $1.07 |
| 05-01 05:28 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 05-01 05:21 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 05-01 05:21 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 04-14 20:22 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.52 |
| 02-01 03:26 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 01-31 17:49 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 01-25 05:29 | Will the fight be won by submission? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 01-21 21:41 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 01-21 20:30 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.05 | $6.50 |
| 01-21 03:33 | Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 01-20 04:07 | Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 01-20 00:19 | Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 01-19 05:29 | Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 01-19 00:00 | Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | SELL | 0.252446 | $15.15 |