PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dubiousnftlover

0x8b085f13f63950b8f0b1c56be8985ea75ab624a6

Realised P&L
$-291.82
Volume
$21.2k
Markets traded
344
Open portfolio
$52.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded344
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes0.1410.095$31.82$15.57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2680.045$19.21$95.05
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? · No0.1900.970$1.20+$0.96
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0400.001$0.01$0.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$5.90
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.1930.000$0.00$29.00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics0.7150.000$0.00$3.57
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$6.01
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.3540.000$0.00$3.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$5.10
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5670.000$0.00$19.85
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · No0.1400.000$0.00$6.84
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 17:35Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?SELL0.0214688$1.07
05-01 05:28Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.32$1.60
05-01 05:21Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.32$3.20
05-01 05:21Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.32$1.60
04-14 20:22Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.16$1.52
02-01 03:26US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.002$0.07
01-31 17:49Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?SELL0.001$0.03
01-25 05:29Will the fight be won by submission?SELL0.06$0.30
01-21 21:41Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.42$2.10
01-21 20:30Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL0.05$6.50
01-21 03:33Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?SELL0.08$3.20
01-20 04:07Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5BUY0.83$4.15
01-20 00:19Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5BUY0.46$2.30
01-19 05:29Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?SELL0.74$7.40
01-19 00:00Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.252446$15.15