PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

zmrtz

0x8b01e664b6f1c434e1ccd3585441188e7219e149

Realised P&L
$-24.75
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$5.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.945$2.22+$0.06
Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? · No0.9401.000$1.13+$0.07
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.7400.655$1.12$0.14
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026? · No0.9400.762$0.86$0.20
Dota 2: PVISION vs. Team Liquid · PVISION0.7000.000$0.00$3.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-25 09:24Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$399.60
05-25 09:24Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.993$300.39
05-25 09:23Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.997$199.80
05-18 05:53Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.995$301.00
05-18 05:52Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.998$200.00
05-18 05:51Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$400.00
05-15 07:12Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.996$70.14
05-14 05:35Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.997$70.00
05-14 05:35Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.996$69.72
05-14 05:35Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.997$70.00
03-26 05:29Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.989$69.92
03-26 05:29Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.992$65.38
03-23 12:17Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9929999999$65.00
03-23 12:17Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.992$64.48
03-23 12:17Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9929999999$65.00