zmrtz
0x8b01e664b6f1c434e1ccd3585441188e7219e149
- Realised P&L
- $-24.75
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $5.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.945 | $2.22 | +$0.06 |
| Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $1.13 | +$0.07 |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.655 | $1.12 | −$0.14 |
| Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.762 | $0.86 | −$0.20 |
| Dota 2: PVISION vs. Team Liquid · PVISION | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.23at 0.620Trump reinstates Mexico City policy on Day 1?
- +$0.14at 0.930Walz and Vance shake hands at first debate?
- +$0.14at 0.950Will Putin meet with Trump in February?
- +$0.11at 0.900AWS service disrupted by January 31?
- +$0.07at 0.976Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 09:24 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $399.60 |
| 05-25 09:24 | Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.993 | $300.39 |
| 05-25 09:23 | Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $199.80 |
| 05-18 05:53 | Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $301.00 |
| 05-18 05:52 | Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $200.00 |
| 05-18 05:51 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $400.00 |
| 05-15 07:12 | Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $70.14 |
| 05-14 05:35 | Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $70.00 |
| 05-14 05:35 | Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $69.72 |
| 05-14 05:35 | Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $70.00 |
| 03-26 05:29 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $69.92 |
| 03-26 05:29 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.992 | $65.38 |
| 03-23 12:17 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $65.00 |
| 03-23 12:17 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.992 | $64.48 |
| 03-23 12:17 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $65.00 |