PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wastrel

0x8ace6b1016214876667444d2b3055065da996069

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$607.7k
Markets traded
394
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded394
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Avengers: Doomsday0.9350.954$1.3k+$26.30
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes0.7030.775$1.0k+$95.49
Will Virtus.Pro Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone? · Yes0.1800.245$8.82+$2.34
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers · Miami Heretics0.7720.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$100.00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers · Lakers0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.4050.000$0.00$120.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$20.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.5700.000$0.00$120.00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.2940.000$0.00$50.00
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers · Los Angeles Thieves0.9200.000$0.00$150.00
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5300.000$0.00$300.00
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets0.7050.000$0.00$160.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.3840.000$0.00$2.9k
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier · OpTic Texas0.8700.000$0.00$672.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:54Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.7770114916$26.00
08-02 14:43Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.7962306441$100.00
08-02 13:50Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.7799999979$30.00
08-02 13:16Will Virtus.Pro Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone?BUY0.18$6.48
08-02 09:07Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
08-02 08:18Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.5799999942$30.00
08-02 07:12Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.6199999981$20.00
08-02 06:57Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
08-02 05:18Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.5599999969$50.00
08-02 03:07Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.64$50.00
08-02 02:29Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.55$100.00
08-02 01:33Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.7699999997$500.00
08-02 01:32Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.88$959.51
07-30 10:25Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.8359043058$867.54
07-30 10:24Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.0410579454$919.13