wastrel
0x8ace6b1016214876667444d2b3055065da996069
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $607.7k
- Markets traded
- 394
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded394
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.2kat 0.416DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
- +$5.1kat 0.541Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.2kat 0.572Rams vs. Seahawks
- +$2.8kat 0.492DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.513Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:54 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.7770114916 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:43 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.7962306441 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 13:16 | Will Virtus.Pro Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.48 |
| 08-02 09:07 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 08:18 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.5799999942 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 07:12 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 06:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 05:18 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.5599999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 03:07 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 02:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 01:33 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 01:32 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $959.51 |
| 07-30 10:25 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.8359043058 | $867.54 |
| 07-30 10:24 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.0410579454 | $919.13 |