Grandioso
0x8a3507dc85bda29be7439260897dad8dcd08904a
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $234.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.935 | $1.3k | +$6.75 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$582.90 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$884.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.177Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.7kat 0.085Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$731.00at 0.114Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$352.10at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$188.39at 0.840Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 22:22 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.85 | $6.9k |
| 07-08 14:30 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.157 | $2.7k |
| 07-08 14:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.187 | $3.2k |
| 07-08 14:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.187 | $3.2k |
| 07-08 14:29 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.326 | $5.5k |
| 07-07 02:07 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5959580069 | $867.12 |
| 07-07 02:06 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3569629114 | $502.79 |
| 07-05 16:12 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.3k |
| 06-17 13:34 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.7k |
| 06-15 14:06 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.9k |
| 05-18 15:11 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.183 | $896.70 |
| 05-18 15:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.167 | $818.30 |
| 05-18 15:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.114 | $558.60 |
| 05-18 15:09 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.091 | $364.00 |
| 05-18 15:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.084 | $411.60 |