0x8a15545c807dea4918070612890287d9e53d4f9f
- Realised P&L
- $-626.82
- Volume
- $88.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.011 | $469.55 | −$317.64 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.063 | $379.23 | −$7.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.032 | $311.05 | −$62.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.018 | $275.63 | −$91.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-7.13at 0.164Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$-45.20at 0.070Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-76.91at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0299999876 | $2.30 |
| 08-03 04:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0312928177 | $17.70 |
| 08-02 18:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.69 |
| 08-02 13:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0589999978 | $23.82 |
| 08-02 13:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0260930605 | $122.06 |
| 08-02 13:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0381135868 | $175.43 |
| 08-02 12:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0389999972 | $13.35 |
| 08-02 12:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.039 | $68.18 |
| 08-02 12:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $97.28 |
| 08-02 12:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0381413852 | $96.84 |
| 08-02 12:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0245048364 | $35.65 |
| 08-02 12:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0123221801 | $156.56 |
| 08-02 12:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0259277943 | $106.98 |
| 08-02 12:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.74 |
| 08-02 12:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.19 |