PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8a15545c807dea4918070612890287d9e53d4f9f

Realised P&L
$-626.82
Volume
$88.7k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? · Yes0.0180.011$469.55$317.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? · Yes0.0640.063$379.23$7.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? · Yes0.0380.032$311.05$62.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? · Yes0.0250.018$275.63$91.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:58Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0299999876$2.30
08-03 04:57Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0312928177$17.70
08-02 18:42Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.02$4.69
08-02 13:25Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.0589999978$23.82
08-02 13:24Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.0260930605$122.06
08-02 13:23Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0381135868$175.43
08-02 12:58Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0389999972$13.35
08-02 12:57Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.039$68.18
08-02 12:57Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$97.28
08-02 12:55Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0381413852$96.84
08-02 12:46Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.0245048364$35.65
08-02 12:45Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.0123221801$156.56
08-02 12:45Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.0259277943$106.98
08-02 12:43Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.01$15.74
08-02 12:42Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.019$0.19