0x898bf0e201108d855d799d5789c7aa2da9ecdc92
- Realised P&L
- $-41.87
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $155.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $85.00 | −$15.00 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.155 | $59.18 | −$13.36 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.011 | $11.52 | −$13.51 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 15:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999965 | $42.51 |
| 07-08 15:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0249800399 | $25.03 |
| 07-08 15:06 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999956 | $30.03 |
| 07-08 15:05 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |