azuresteel
0x8934dabf54ddc69d58e65de9440f53f75697ca30
- Realised P&L
- $-150.41
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $408.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.760 | 1.000 | $304.22 | +$73.01 |
| Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.320 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$34.00 |
| Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.992 | $49.58 | +$35.08 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $4.25 | −$1.75 |
| Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.690 | 0.009 | $0.42 | −$34.07 |
| Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.00at 0.750Will the fight go the distance?
- +$281.70at 0.630Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?
- +$97.96at 0.020Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$26.00at 0.913Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
- +$22.00at 0.890Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 16:20 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 03-18 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.2819329166 | $30.22 |
| 03-18 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.2803754541 | $53.25 |
| 03-18 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 03-18 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 03-18 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.279 | $4.46 |
| 03-18 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.3256588081 | $9.95 |
| 03-18 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.3987523629 | $29.53 |
| 03-18 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.12 |
| 03-18 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.4262846549 | $73.01 |
| 03-18 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.3528279854 | $53.33 |
| 03-18 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18? | BUY | 0.1420386183 | $6.62 |
| 02-17 01:40 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.43 | $258.00 |
| 01-23 19:34 | Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 01-23 19:25 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |