0x89029D658cbbB57396AE91993fEdC0A0CB35582E-1776867326565
0x89029d658cbbb57396ae91993fedc0a0cb35582e
- Realised P&L
- $-98.99
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $948.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.550 | $948.84 | −$4.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.52at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
- +$4.90at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$3.60at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
- +$0.85at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$-15.00at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.5526035875 | $953.33 |
| 08-03 02:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.739999997 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 08-03 02:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 14:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22? | BUY | 0.0676268329 | $83.11 |