0x8766ebf9d1fee7ab285187f170b36e5446634171
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $284.4k
- Markets traded
- 715
- Open portfolio
- $66.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded715
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? · No | 0.390 | 0.675 | $24.39 | +$10.30 |
| Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.450 | $14.45 | +$8.35 |
| Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw? · No | 0.350 | 0.560 | $14.44 | +$5.41 |
| Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw? · No | 0.160 | 0.775 | $7.32 | +$5.81 |
| Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.300 | $4.69 | +$2.97 |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-11? · No | 0.460 | 0.700 | $1.18 | +$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.265Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings
- +$405.57at 0.121Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandromme
- +$356.04at 0.196T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Durham
- +$352.14at 0.299Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$342.17at 0.105T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Hungary vs Turkiye
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 00:54 | Will Denver Summit FC vs. Houston Dash end in a draw? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-13 00:46 | NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings | BUY | 0.87 | $55.24 |
| 07-13 00:42 | NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings | BUY | 0.78 | $102.18 |
| 07-13 00:41 | NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic | BUY | 0.45 | $15.75 |
| 07-13 00:30 | NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic | BUY | 0.63 | $5.67 |
| 07-13 00:30 | NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic | BUY | 0.63 | $69.30 |
| 07-13 00:26 | Will Houston Dash win on 2026-07-12? | BUY | 0.87 | $85.26 |
| 07-13 00:26 | Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-07-12? | BUY | 0.64 | $94.72 |
| 07-13 00:11 | Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.35 | $21.00 |
| 07-13 00:02 | Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-07-12? | BUY | 0.25 | $37.75 |
| 07-12 23:46 | NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic | BUY | 0.75 | $96.00 |
| 07-12 23:46 | NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic | BUY | 0.75 | $98.25 |
| 07-12 23:46 | NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic | BUY | 0.75 | $93.00 |
| 07-12 23:40 | Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-07-12? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 07-12 23:30 | Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-07-12? | BUY | 0.4570972321 | $6.44 |