polhormuz
0x875522ce39d23fff8e2d2e3b413c6a3a496f3903
- Realised P&L
- $-81.11
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 400
- Open portfolio
- $234.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded400
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.32at 0.190Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?
- +$16.17at 0.236XRP Up or Down - April 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$15.80at 0.240Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$12.94at 0.278Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$12.22at 0.290Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 04:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.6764705763 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 01:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:02 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.3749999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.3365384363 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 12:14 | Will Solana reach $80 in August? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 12:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 09:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 09:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 7? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |