SavageSally
0x86fd75714f879e0ebbf5b6e62241b55b3477bfbd
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$543.72at 0.826Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$181.84at 0.932US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$109.60at 0.875Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$60.00at 0.850Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$52.65at 0.896Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $151.20 |
| 08-04 01:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $118.00 |
| 08-03 23:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 08-03 18:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $95.00 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.86 | $215.00 |
| 08-01 19:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 08-01 18:56 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 07-30 01:43 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.85 | $510.00 |
| 07-29 12:35 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.8481761591 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 22:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.8117727029 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 22:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.7616641058 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 21:58 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 13:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7649999983 | $300.00 |
| 07-27 21:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7269999952 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 00:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $240.00 |