umeax
0x86d2d490bcac9fccea02a44c48272008e0c4731d
- Realised P&L
- $185.0k
- Volume
- $11.13M
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.3k |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.9k |
| Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$436.95 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.4k |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$133.9k |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$161.8k |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.51 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins · Kansas City Royals | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.8k |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.66 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.42 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.36 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$113.74 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.4k |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$355.6kat 0.405France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$215.4kat 0.351Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$146.3kat 0.756Will France vs. England end in a draw?
- +$136.2kat 0.759Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
- +$105.9kat 0.575Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:12 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.69 | $1.4k |
| 07-31 14:59 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.62 | $3.7k |
| 07-30 15:04 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.48 | $3.0k |
| 07-29 10:49 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.44 | $2.7k |
| 07-28 10:40 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4099482262 | $4.8k |
| 07-28 07:07 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.58 | $9.8k |
| 07-28 06:43 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.58 | $7.1k |
| 07-28 04:59 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.59 | $3.3k |
| 07-27 08:54 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27? | BUY | 0.4089424781 | $3.4k |
| 07-26 07:43 | Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.46 | $5.4k |
| 07-25 18:35 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.47 | $139.04 |
| 07-25 18:27 | Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.9036173273 | $1.1k |
| 07-25 18:23 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.47 | $6.2k |
| 07-25 16:06 | San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.44 | $14.4k |
| 07-25 05:22 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.7k |