PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Nickabc

0x866f68989c36e45ac69708699fcfa321721ad410

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$262.9k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$289.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.405$240.72$26.75
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.065$27.30$23.10
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? · Yes0.2990.135$20.98$25.58
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0400.030$0.49$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 05:41Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.059$5.19
06-01 17:40MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
06-01 17:28MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
05-21 17:48Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.001$5.00
05-13 13:42Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?SELL0.33$12.01
05-07 15:47Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?SELL0.5$61.33
04-30 16:31MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.055$23.10
04-06 01:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?SELL0.02523471$42.90
04-02 11:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.12$55.20
04-01 16:15EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.0276178333$33.14
03-25 09:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25?SELL0.0061515385$8.00
03-22 06:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22?SELL0.0094506073$18.90
03-17 16:52US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.21$52.50
03-16 07:55Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16?SELL0.005$0.25
02-28 07:09US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.013$3.25