0x86529cd98bf451632548bc0c67762b7046f093ce
- Realised P&L
- $-153.48
- Volume
- $44.4k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $113.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 · Over | 0.560 | 0.750 | $66.96 | +$16.96 |
| SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Under | 0.456 | 0.495 | $16.27 | +$1.27 |
| Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner · PlayTime | 0.659 | 1.000 | $15.16 | +$5.16 |
| Exact Score: Halmstads BK 0 - 2 IK Sirius? · No | 0.910 | 0.900 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Ranheim vs. FK Haugesund: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.400 | 0.395 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang · Yulia Putintseva | 0.660 | 0.645 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.22at 0.308Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)
- +$65.46at 0.413LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
- +$41.29at 0.500LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
- +$40.61at 0.483New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$39.47at 0.470New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:33 | Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 05:32 | Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Exact Score: Halmstads BK 0 - 2 IK Sirius? | BUY | 0.9098362147 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 00:33 | Ranheim vs. FK Haugesund: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 00:28 | National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $8.91 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Birmingham Legion FC vs. Rhode Island FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:56 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:12 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:12 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:04 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:03 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 20:24 | Birmingham Legion FC vs. Rhode Island FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 20:23 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 20:22 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |