PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tob4pfp3pxtu

0x86434d6e08786232f8e0641cd6ca9882e6ef82a0

Realised P&L
$-973.55
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
621
Open portfolio
$7.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded621
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5300.935$2.17+$0.94
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat? · Yes0.4100.125$1.61$3.66
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3900.175$0.76$0.94
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4300.355$0.76$0.16
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2500.065$0.65$1.85
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3270.051$0.50$2.72
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes0.1800.055$0.33$0.75
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.2300.096$0.28$0.40
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.061$0.27$2.05
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes0.2530.002$0.03$4.18
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? · Yes0.3500.028$0.03$0.38
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? · Yes0.2500.002$0.01$0.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:17Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?SELL0.251$0.96
08-02 18:27Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?BUY0.274999869$1.05
08-02 10:07Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?SELL0.19$0.24
07-21 15:35Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2SELL0.38$0.00
06-26 00:49Will there be 1+ Pentakills at MSI?SELL0.11$0.38
06-26 00:13Will there be 1+ Pentakills at MSI?BUY0.2999998252$1.03
06-26 00:08Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?SELL0.28$0.69
06-15 23:54Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.2$0.00
06-10 16:55Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?SELL0.233$1.01
06-10 15:20Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?BUY0.2699998523$1.17
06-10 13:44Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13?SELL0.3$1.38
06-10 13:26Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.08$0.00
06-10 12:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13?BUY0.25$1.15
06-10 11:25WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10?SELL0.29$0.91
06-10 06:10WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10?BUY0.3799998923$1.20