0x8539056c79fe9850c48018e0bd582e1d76ec2a48
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $254.15
Can you copy this trader?
unknown — No blocker in what little is known, but the signals that catch a lucky streak are missing. Inspect the wallet directly before drawing a conclusion.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.075 | $90.00 | +$90.00 |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.150 | $60.00 | +$60.00 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.525 | $59.57 | +$59.57 |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.004 | $42.00 | +$42.00 |
| Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.000 | 0.930 | $1.94 | +$1.94 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.105 | $0.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.024 | $0.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 03:20 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.934 | $135.85 |
| 07-08 03:19 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $105.00 |
| 07-08 03:18 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15908775 | $127.27 |
| 07-08 03:18 | Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $145.48 |
| 07-08 03:17 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.049 | $191.99 |
| 07-08 03:17 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.04 | $200.00 |
| 07-08 03:16 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $540.00 |
| 07-08 03:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $635.99 |
| 07-08 03:14 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.994 | $795.20 |
| 07-08 03:14 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $960.00 |
| 07-08 03:13 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $961.00 |
| 07-08 03:13 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | SELL | 0.79259545 | $1.6k |
| 07-08 03:12 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.8140995628 | $2.1k |
| 07-08 03:10 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0070061427 | $1.4k |
| 07-08 03:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.61 | $2.7k |