PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x84a86ff2731043b6eb7af9bb61503b85f6f4cdd6

Realised P&L
$1.63
Volume
$519.00
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$40.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8330.875$17.50+$0.85
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8590.913$8.22+$0.49
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · Yes0.3601.000$7.00+$4.48
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0290.063$3.15+$1.70
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7200.835$1.67+$0.23
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1800.195$1.17+$0.09
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.3000.165$0.82$0.68
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0730.045$0.64$0.39
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? · No0.6100.000$0.00$3.05
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 14:07Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.859$7.73
06-22 10:22Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$1.08
06-20 13:20Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.9$9.90
06-13 03:11Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.929$4.65
06-11 02:22Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.906$4.53
06-09 11:46Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.78$4.68
06-02 09:06Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.073$1.02
04-24 18:06U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.82$6.56
04-24 18:06U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.19$1.71
04-24 18:06Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.208$2.50
04-24 18:06Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.792$6.34
04-24 18:06Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.421$6.31
04-24 18:06Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.58$3.48
04-11 15:47Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.72$14.40
04-11 15:47Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.3$6.60
Trader 0x84a8…cdd6 · PolyBot