PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

defenssss

0x847d6e5797aff8f344e1b7b36a655c8c18df6432

Realised P&L
$-49.40
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$14.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0430.025$8.80$6.20
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.035$3.54$11.46
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · Yes0.0150.017$1.10+$0.10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0700.035$0.51$0.49
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.021$0.43$0.57
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Xi Jinping out by June 30? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$1.00
Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 18:31Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?BUY0.0519999513$1.00
05-10 18:28Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
04-26 01:11Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
04-26 01:11Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.048999954$1.00
04-26 01:07Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0438468786$5.00
04-26 01:07Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.042999996$10.00
04-26 01:06Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.05$9.50
04-23 23:38Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.16$0.88
04-23 23:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.29999982$0.90
04-23 23:33Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.4599997608$0.92
04-23 23:28Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?BUY0.0108910893$1.00
04-23 19:44Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
04-23 19:43Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
04-23 19:42Xi Jinping out by June 30?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
04-23 19:42Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.0170000004$1.00