ConnieWoods8740
0x846d516a68645b6971a62ff7372e5f5a6c2f4ab2
- Realised P&L
- $802.81
- Volume
- $143.9k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $2.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$313.25at 0.230Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-04-04?
- +$292.07at 0.110Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?
- +$252.30at 0.200Will Saoirse Ronan attend the Oscars?
- +$241.50at 0.200Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$234.75at 0.110Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:24 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 04-27 09:20 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.30 |
| 04-12 14:46 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $638.19 |
| 04-11 09:46 | Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30? | SELL | 0.17 | $49.81 |
| 04-10 20:32 | Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $146.50 |
| 04-09 11:20 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $41.80 |
| 04-09 11:19 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $71.61 |
| 04-09 11:18 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $81.07 |
| 04-09 11:17 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $36.08 |
| 04-09 11:16 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $60.50 |
| 04-08 05:07 | AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins | BUY | 0.619 | $273.60 |
| 04-08 02:46 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $264.60 |
| 04-07 21:16 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $668.58 |
| 03-31 03:27 | Will Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.07 | $9.59 |
| 03-30 14:39 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30? | SELL | 0.63 | $64.26 |