gwrrafone
0x846ae1690777480efdaba69ad840e88b91389a72
- Realised P&L
- $-83.86
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $58.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Levante UD (-1.5) · Levante UD | 0.080 | 0.230 | $34.50 | +$22.50 |
| CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.100 | 0.100 | $15.00 | +$0.00 |
| CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.070 | 0.060 | $9.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second Half · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
| Spread: United States (-4.5) · United States | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Spread: England (-2.5) · England | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) · Norway | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.80at 0.860Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
- +$89.72at 0.100Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
- +$72.24at 0.580Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$63.13at 0.410France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
- +$60.75at 0.393England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:59 | CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $11.29 |
| 08-05 06:58 | CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 08-05 06:58 | Spread: Levante UD (-1.5) | BUY | 0.08 | $2.08 |
| 07-19 21:46 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.9975 | $99.72 |
| 07-19 20:25 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 07-19 16:25 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 07-19 16:24 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 16:23 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 16:23 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 16:22 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.045 | $4.50 |
| 07-19 16:22 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.90 |
| 07-19 16:22 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 16:21 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 07-19 16:21 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 07-19 16:16 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |